<p>Think I've found you - looks like a canonical issue. Routing to launchpad.net from our production cluster is dying in Canonical's network:</p>
<pre><code>HOST: spike-07.openstreetmap.org                      Loss%   Snt   Last   Avg  Best  Wrst StDev
  1.|-- _gateway                                         0.0%    10    1.0   1.1   1.0   1.5   0.2
  2.|-- te0-0-1-5.agr22.ams03.atlas.cogentco.com         0.0%    10    1.1   1.1   1.0   1.3   0.1
  3.|-- be2544.ccr41.ams03.atlas.cogentco.com           20.0%    10    1.3   1.0   0.9   1.3   0.1
  4.|-- be12194.ccr41.lon13.atlas.cogentco.com          60.0%    10    8.4   8.5   8.2   8.7   0.2
  5.|-- be2868.ccr21.lon01.atlas.cogentco.com           70.0%    10    8.6   8.5   8.4   8.6   0.1
  6.|-- be2207.rcr21.b015589-1.lon01.atlas.cogentco.com  0.0%    10    9.4   8.9   8.8   9.4   0.2
  7.|-- ???                                             100.0    10    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0
  8.|-- border3-bbnet2.lon003.pnap.net                   0.0%    10    8.4   8.4   8.3   8.6   0.1
  9.|-- 2a02:b50:2:2::2                                  0.0%    10    9.5  13.7   9.5  29.1   7.9
 10.|-- te2-2.honeymelon.canonical.com                   0.0%    10    9.3  10.5   9.2  18.0   2.9
 11.|-- ???                                             100.0    10    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0
</code></pre>
<p>It does still work from our backup site:</p>
<pre><code>HOST: spike-04.openstreetmap.org            Loss%   Snt   Last   Avg  Best  Wrst StDev
  1.|-- vl214.ar1.dc1.yo26.yrk.bytemark.co.uk  0.0%    10   16.2   7.8   0.5  17.0   6.9
  2.|-- be1.cr3.yrk.bytemark.co.uk            50.0%    10    0.9   0.9   0.9   1.0   0.0
  3.|-- ???                                   100.0    10    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0
  4.|-- te0-0-0-7.asr1.thn.as20860.net        50.0%    10    8.2   6.8   6.0   8.2   1.0
  5.|-- ???                                   100.0    10    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0
  6.|-- 2001:48c8:1:9::5d                      0.0%    10   18.2   7.8   5.8  18.2   4.2
  7.|-- ???                                   100.0    10    0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0
  8.|-- border3-bbnet1.lon003.pnap.net         0.0%    10    5.9   6.0   5.9   6.2   0.1
  9.|-- 2a02:b50:2:2::2                        0.0%    10    7.1   7.2   7.0   8.0   0.3
 10.|-- te2-2.honeymelon.canonical.com         0.0%    10    6.8   6.8   6.7   7.0   0.1
 11.|-- vrrp0.gs2.canonical.com                0.0%    10    6.8   6.9   6.7   8.1   0.4
 12.|-- launchpad-net.banana.canonical.com     0.0%    10    6.8   6.8   6.7   6.9   0.1
</code></pre>
<p>Both get to <code>te2-2.honeymelon.canonical.com</code> but after that one of them just stops.</p>

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