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<p><font face="Arial">If the area is higher risk than an adjacent
area then encouraging people to go from the high risk area to
the low risk are will simply increase the risk for those who
were in what was a lower risk area.</font></p>
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<p><font face="Arial">For an individual this is great idea.</font></p>
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<p><font face="Arial">For the community as a whole this is an
extremely bad idea.<br>
</font></p>
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<p><font face="Arial">Best to encourage self isolation, this would
encourage travel outside the normal area... wrong idea. </font></p>
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<div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 20/3/20 4:42 pm, Pietro Michelucci
wrote<br>
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<blockquote type="cite"
cite="mid:CA+ib1r6FxGNJ1n3Ui-FKa4bewX4V1C6PmubuiQuzo-O5V7qSNg@mail.gmail.com">
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<div dir="ltr"><span
id="m_5368467908039976409gmail-docs-internal-guid-369dcdbd-7fff-7a3b-1410-76ee9bd8df25">
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Hi All,</span></p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><b
style="font-weight:normal"
id="m_5368467908039976409gmail-docs-internal-guid-fd44b404-7fff-85f7-710a-a3a48a38a654"><br>
</b></p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">We have an unconventional, but well-vetted idea for tackling this pandemic that needs your help!</span></p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><b
style="font-weight:normal"><br>
</b></p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Imagine if people could compare the virus exposure risks associated with different daily travel destinations? Would you drive an extra mile for beer if it meant going to a store with a lower coronavirus infection risk?</span></p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><b
style="font-weight:normal"><br>
</b></p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">The single greatest determinant of a pandemic’s toll is human behavior, not how contagious or deadly a virus is. We think there's a way to reduce global risks while increasing individual autonomy, avoiding compulsory lockdowns and other extreme measures with questionable effectiveness. </span></p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><b
style="font-weight:normal"><br>
</b></p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">For example, if a person intends to shop for groceries and is provided with alternative destinations that have lower exposure risks, they might be sufficiently motivated to drive further so they can shop at a location where they are less likely to become infected. So one implementation of this approach involves extending a navigation app to display the estimated transmission risks associated with a set of similar destinations.</span></p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.38;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><b
style="font-weight:normal"><br>
</b></p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">This is where we need your help. We (including an epidemiologist, virologist, and population flow scientist) are developing an open source destination risk estimator that relies on a virus model, venue model (grocery store, movie theater, etc), and real-time population flow data. We’d like to embed that in navigation apps so people can make informed decisions about where (and when) to go places to reduce their virus exposure risks.</span></p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">
</span></p>
<p style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Here's an example of what this might look like:</span></p>
<p style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap"><span id="gmail-docs-internal-guid-9e600452-7fff-e8c6-8312-9e697d7014c7"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:"Times New Roman";background-color:transparent;font-variant-numeric:normal;font-variant-east-asian:normal;vertical-align:baseline"><span style="border:none;display:inline-block;overflow:hidden;width:383px;height:682px"><img src="https://lh6.googleusercontent.com/VCxSU1wjQ2Q6MC9tAi5zYIErdtA3K7rmVbCi2f2tQsCowb4oYhdmwtzrtErGqyDlLUjCKnJB60HnLw_7HAK8Voyt0xUZiU9mOtjuVOGeWwMTc5eK2RUT_3fph8Mgn5KSk9c8C-Lh" style="margin-left: 0px; margin-top: 0px;" moz-do-not-send="true" width="383" height="682"></span></span></span>
</span></p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">
</span></p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">If there is anyone interested in this idea, perhaps you could help us identify an OSM-based platform that could be used to pilot this? And, of course, we'd welcome any other feedback.</span></p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">
</span></p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Ultimately, we would like this capability to be deployed in as many navigation apps as possible. Microsoft is supporting the development of our risk model without any strings attached, and through that relationship, we may be able to provide access to realtime population data via a traffic flow API.
</span></p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">
</span></p>
<p style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">I realize some may view corporate involvement as antithetical to the open source movement, but we envision an inclusive future for data science that derives successes from synergies between the cathedral *and* the bazaar. Read more about our approach at <a href="http://civium.io" moz-do-not-send="true">civium.io</a>.</span></p>
<p style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">
</span></p>
<p style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">If you are on board, we'd love to have you involved to help pioneer this pandemic intervention. As they say, "it takes a village".</span></p>
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</p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Best wishes,</span></p>
<p dir="ltr"
style="line-height:1.656;margin-top:0pt;margin-bottom:0pt"><span style="font-size:11pt;font-family:Arial;color:rgb(0,0,0);background-color:transparent;font-weight:400;font-style:normal;font-variant:normal;text-decoration:none;vertical-align:baseline;white-space:pre-wrap">Pietro</span></p>
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valign="middle" align="left">
<p style="margin:0px 0px
10px;padding-right:10px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:10px;line-height:12px"><a
href="http://hcinst.org/"
style="color:rgb(36,169,57);text-decoration:none;background-color:transparent"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true"><img
src="https://htmlsigs.s3.amazonaws.com/logos/files/000/116/503/landscape/twlogo.png"
alt="Human Computation Institute"
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height="80" border="0"></a></p>
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<p style="margin:0px 0px
10px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:10px;line-height:12px;color:rgb(33,33,33)"><span
style="font-weight:bold;display:inline">Pietro Michelucci, PhD</span> <span
style="display:inline">/</span> <span
style="display:inline">Director</span> <span
style="display:inline"><br>
</span><a
href="mailto:pem@humancomputation.org"
style="color:rgb(36,169,57);text-decoration:none;display:inline;background-color:transparent"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true">pem@humancomputation.org</a><span
style="display:inline"> / </span><span
style="display:inline">571.235.3288</span></p>
<p style="margin:0px 0px
10px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:10px;line-height:12px"><span
style="font-weight:bold;display:inline">Human Computation Institute</span> <span
style="display:inline"><br>
</span><span></span><span></span><a
href="http://humancomputation.org/"
style="color:rgb(36,169,57);text-decoration:none;display:inline;background-color:transparent"
target="_blank" moz-do-not-send="true">http://humancomputation.org</a></p>
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10px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:10px;line-height:12px"><a
href="https://about.me/pmichelu"
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<pre class="moz-quote-pre" wrap="">_______________________________________________
talk mailing list
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