[HOT] HOT response to Cascadia Earthquake

[Danijel Schorlemmer]

Hi David,

Earthquake and Tsunami forecasting is far away from being feasible on short 
time scales. Thus, scientist are assessing the long-term hazard in earthquake-
prone regions. Arguing that HOT should map the Cascadia region because of a 
20% chance in 50 years for a destructive earthquake would in consequence mean 
that HOT should map all regions close to major subduction zones (many of them 
have even higher chances for large earthquakes). While is it certainly 
desirable to have detailed maps available when a catastrophic event hits an 
area, I would argue it makes more sense for HOT to focus on emergency 
situations like the Haiyan case or the past Haiti earthquake. The resources 
are too limited to fully map all earthquake-prone areas.

Cheers

-danijel

On Tuesday, November 19, 2013 09:06:01 PM David Hiers wrote:
> Hello,
> 
> The current estimate is that there is up a 20% chance that the coastal areas
> of North America from Eureka, California to Port Hardy, British Columbia
> will experience a major quake in the next 50 years:
> 
> http://oregongeology.org/sub/earthquakes/Coastal/OFR95-67.pdf
> 
> Vancouver BC, Seattle, and Portland would pretty much be flattened.
> 
> Would this event be considered within the scope of HOT?
> 
> Best Regards,
> 
> David