[Talk-ht] Atlantic Tropical Storm CHANTAL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
Jacqueson Michel
micheljacqueson334 at gmail.com
Mer 10 Juil 23:07:44 UTC 2013
Mil merci Sev pour de nous avoir toujours tenu informer de l´évolution de
la dépression tropicale CHANTAL. De notre côté, nous restons toujours très
vigilents.
2013/7/10 Severin MENARD <severin.menard at gmail.com>
> ---------- Mensagem encaminhada ----------
> De: "GovDelivery Weather Updates" <weatherupdates at public.govdelivery.com>
> Data: 10/07/2013 09:35
> Assunto: Atlantic Tropical Storm CHANTAL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
> Para: <severin.menard at gmail.com>
>
> [image: NWS Banner]
>
> *You are subscribed to NHC Wind Speed Probabilities (Atlantic) for NOAA's
> National Weather Service.*
> *GovDelivery provides this service using unaltered NOAA/NWS products.*
>
> Atlantic Tropical Storm CHANTAL Wind Speed Probabilities Number
> 10<http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAPWSAT3.shtml>
> 07/10/2013 04:37 AM EDT
>
>
> 000
> FONT13 KNHC 100837
> PWSAT3
>
> TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
> NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013
> 0900 UTC WED JUL 10 2013
>
> AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
> LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
> WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
>
> Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
> ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
> EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
> CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
>
>
> I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
>
> CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
> THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
> AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
> PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
> THAN 1 PERCENT.
>
>
> - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
>
> VALID TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
> FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
> DISSIPATED 1 10 15 19 26 29 38
> TROP DEPRESSION 31 49 45 41 36 31 31
> TROPICAL STORM 67 40 38 37 36 37 29
> HURRICANE 1 1 2 2 2 3 2
> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
> HUR CAT 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 2
> HUR CAT 2 X X X X X X X
> HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X X
> HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X
> HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
> FCST MAX WIND 35KT 30KT 30KT 30KT 30KT 35KT 25KT
>
>
> II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
>
> CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
> ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
> ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
> ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
> FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
>
> PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
> IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
> AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
> (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
> 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
>
> PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
> X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
> PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
> THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
> PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
> PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
>
>
> - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
>
> FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
> TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
> PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
> 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
>
> FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
> LOCATION KT
>
> GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
>
> RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
>
> CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
>
> CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
>
> MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
>
> WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
>
> COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
>
> MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8)
>
> CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10)
>
> ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
>
> AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
>
> SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10)
>
> MAYPORT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11)
>
> JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11)
>
> DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 2(13)
>
> ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 2(12)
>
> COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) 2(13)
>
> PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) 2(13)
>
> FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13) 1(14)
> FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
>
> W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 2(14) 1(15)
> W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
>
> MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 9(14) 1(15) 1(16)
> MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
>
> MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12)
>
> KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
>
> MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) 1(10)
>
> FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
>
> VENICE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
>
> TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8)
>
> CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8)
>
> TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
>
> ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
>
> APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
>
> GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
>
> PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
>
> COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
>
> MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
>
> GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 10(13) 3(16) 1(17)
> GRAND BAHAMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
>
> NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) X(11) 1(12)
>
> ANDROS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13)
>
> GREAT EXUMA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
>
> SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
>
> HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
>
> CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) 1(10)
>
> CAMAGUEY 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 3(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19)
>
> GUANTANAMO BAY 34 1 15(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
>
> LES CAYES 34 5 11(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
>
> PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 25 11(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
>
> CAPE BEATA 34 47 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
>
> PUERTO PLATA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
>
> SANTO DOMINGO 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
>
> $$
> FORECASTER PASCH
>
>
> [image: Bookmark and
> Share]<
> http://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNWS/bulletins/82deb1?reqfrom=share
> >
> ------------------------------
>
> To change your subscriptions or preferences log in to your Subscriber
> Preferences Page<
> https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNWS/subscriber/new?preferences=true
> >with
> your e-mail address.
>
> Delete profile<
> https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNWS/subscriber/one_click_unsubscribe?verification=5.d86969daad3b17f0de78222447a3e447&destination=severin.menard@gmail.com
> >
>
> For questions or problems with the subscription service, please contact
> support at govdelivery.com.
>
>
> *The use of the logo does not imply an endorsement by the NOAA/NWS*
> ------------------------------
> GovDelivery provides this service using unaltered NOAA/NWS products. ·
> 1-800-439-1420 [image: Powered by
> GovDelivery]<http://www.govdelivery.com/portals/powered-by>
> _______________________________________________
> Talk-ht mailing list
> Talk-ht at openstreetmap.org
> http://lists.openstreetmap.org/listinfo/talk-ht
> Notez! Vous pouvez utiliser Google Translate (http://translate.google.com)
> pour traduire les messages.
>
Plus d'informations sur la liste de diffusion Talk-ht