[Talk-ht] Atlantic Tropical Storm CHANTAL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10

Jacqueson Michel micheljacqueson334 at gmail.com
Mer 10 Juil 23:07:44 UTC 2013


Mil merci Sev pour de nous avoir toujours tenu informer de l´évolution de
la dépression tropicale CHANTAL. De notre côté, nous restons toujours très
vigilents.


2013/7/10 Severin MENARD <severin.menard at gmail.com>

> ---------- Mensagem encaminhada ----------
> De: "GovDelivery Weather Updates" <weatherupdates at public.govdelivery.com>
> Data: 10/07/2013 09:35
> Assunto: Atlantic Tropical Storm CHANTAL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
> Para: <severin.menard at gmail.com>
>
> [image: NWS Banner]
>
> *You are subscribed to NHC Wind Speed Probabilities (Atlantic) for NOAA's
> National Weather Service.*
> *GovDelivery provides this service using unaltered NOAA/NWS products.*
>
>  Atlantic Tropical Storm CHANTAL Wind Speed Probabilities Number
> 10<http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAPWSAT3.shtml>
> 07/10/2013 04:37 AM EDT
>
>
> 000
> FONT13 KNHC 100837
> PWSAT3
>
> TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
> NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032013
> 0900 UTC WED JUL 10 2013
>
> AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
> LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
> WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
>
> Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
> ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
> EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
> CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
>
>
> I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
>
> CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
> THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
> AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
> PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
> THAN 1 PERCENT.
>
>
> - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
>
> VALID TIME   18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
> FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120
> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
> DISSIPATED       1      10      15      19      26      29      38
> TROP DEPRESSION 31      49      45      41      36      31      31
> TROPICAL STORM  67      40      38      37      36      37      29
> HURRICANE        1       1       2       2       2       3       2
> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
> HUR CAT 1        1       1       2       2       2       3       2
> HUR CAT 2        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
> HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
> HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
> HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
> FCST MAX WIND   35KT    30KT    30KT    30KT    30KT    35KT    25KT
>
>
> II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
>
> CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
> ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
> ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
> ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
> FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
>
> PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
> IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
> AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
> (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
> 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
>
> PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
> X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
> PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
> THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
> PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
> PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
>
>
> - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -
>
> FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
> TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
> PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
> 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
>
> FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
> LOCATION       KT
>
> GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
>
> RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
>
> CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
>
> CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
>
> MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
>
> WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
>
> COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)
>
> MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)
>
> CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)
>
> ATLANTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
>
> AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)
>
> SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   3(10)
>
> MAYPORT NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   2(11)
>
> JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   2(11)
>
> DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)   2(13)
>
> ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)   2(12)
>
> COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)   2(13)
>
> PATRICK AFB    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)   2(13)
>
> FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   4(13)   1(14)
> FT PIERCE FL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
>
> W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   2(14)   1(15)
> W PALM BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
>
> MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   9(14)   1(15)   1(16)
> MIAMI FL       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
>
> MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)   1(12)   X(12)
>
> KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
>
> MARCO ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)
>
> FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)
>
> VENICE FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
>
> TAMPA FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)
>
> CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)
>
> TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)
>
> ST MARKS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)
>
> APALACHICOLA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
>
> GFMX 290N 850W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
>
> PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
>
> COLUMBUS GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
>
> MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
>
> GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  10(13)   3(16)   1(17)
> GRAND BAHAMA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
>
> NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   1(12)
>
> ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)
>
> GREAT EXUMA    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
>
> SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
>
> HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
>
> CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)
>
> CAMAGUEY       34  X   1( 1)  14(15)   3(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)
>
> GUANTANAMO BAY 34  1  15(16)   3(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
>
> LES CAYES      34  5  11(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
>
> PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 25  11(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
>
> CAPE BEATA     34 47   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
>
> PUERTO PLATA   34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
>
> SANTO DOMINGO  34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
>
> $$
> FORECASTER PASCH
>
>
>  [image: Bookmark and
> Share]<
> http://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNWS/bulletins/82deb1?reqfrom=share
> >
> ------------------------------
>
> To change your subscriptions or preferences log in to your Subscriber
> Preferences Page<
> https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNWS/subscriber/new?preferences=true
> >with
> your e-mail address.
>
> Delete profile<
> https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNWS/subscriber/one_click_unsubscribe?verification=5.d86969daad3b17f0de78222447a3e447&destination=severin.menard@gmail.com
> >
>
> For questions or problems with the subscription service, please contact
> support at govdelivery.com.
>
>
> *The use of the logo does not imply an endorsement by the NOAA/NWS*
> ------------------------------
>   GovDelivery provides this service using unaltered NOAA/NWS products. ·
> 1-800-439-1420 [image: Powered by
> GovDelivery]<http://www.govdelivery.com/portals/powered-by>
> _______________________________________________
> Talk-ht mailing list
> Talk-ht at openstreetmap.org
> http://lists.openstreetmap.org/listinfo/talk-ht
> Notez! Vous pouvez utiliser Google Translate (http://translate.google.com)
> pour traduire les messages.
>


Plus d'informations sur la liste de diffusion Talk-ht