[OSM-talk] Scientific paper on "Information Seeding"

Rory McCann rory at technomancy.org
Mon Jul 9 06:59:43 UTC 2018


Hi Greg,

I don't think anyone's claiming there should be the same amount of 
OSMers *per square kilometer*, but *per capita* instead.

Rory

On 09/07/18 02:21, Greg Morgan wrote:
> 
> 
> On Mon, Oct 9, 2017 at 2:10 PM, Frederik Ramm <frederik at remote.org 
> <mailto:frederik at remote.org>> wrote:
> 
>     Hi,
> 
>     today I was pointed to a recent, open-access scientific paper called
>     "Information Seeding and Knowledge Production in Online Communities:
>     Evidence from OpenStreetMap". This open-access paper is available here
> 
>     https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3044581
>     <https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3044581>
> 
>     In the context of armchair mapping, but especially of data imports (and
>     recently, machine-generated OSM data) there's always been the discussion
>     between those who say "careful, too much importing will hurt the growth
>     of a local community", and others who say "this import is going to
>     kick-start a local community, let's do it!"
> 
> 
> Honestly Frederik, you point to a study and say that it is all 
> scientific.  Furthermore, you act like you just came across the study 
> when in fact you have already pushed to the mailing lists on two other 
> occasions.[1][2] This also shows that you have failed to properly check 
> the research before pushing the link once again.  The study is all 
> scientific sounding yet the very heart of the study is based on the 
> Modifiable Areal Unit Problem.[3] Quoting the author "Note that TIGER 
> information was incorporated for 3,093 counties within the US; the state 
> of Massachusetts was excluded because better quality information
> was available from the state government.12 I will restrict my analysis 
> to these 3,093 counties."  The author picked any data, ignoring the size 
> of the population or other social and economic factors to make his 
> point.  Thankfully the US Census Bureau uses "Block Groups (BGs) are 
> statistical divisions of census tracts, are generally defined to contain 
> between 600 and 3,000 people, and are used to present data and control 
> block numbering."[4]   The whole foundation of the "INFORMATION SEEDING 
> AND KNOWLEDGE PRODUCTION IN ONLINE COMMUNITIES: EVIDENCE FROM 
> OPENSTREETMAP" study is based on a geographic division that the 
> _Census_department_would_not_use_.  The Census Bureau uses their block 
> and tract configuration for a number of federal programs.
> 
> Based on local knowledge you shouldn't even be pushing this study.  This 
> appears to be what happened.  A smart person takes a plane trip to the 
> east coast of the US.  That person obtains a degree at MIT and is a 
> Post-Doctoral Fellow--egg head kind-of smart.  That same person that 
> authored this study now takes a plane trip to UC Berkeley in California 
> for a job that the person landed. These two plane trips have led to his 
> fatal analysis that all counties and the rest of the US must look like 
> MIT and UC Berkeley and have the same high density as those two cities.
> 
> Let's take the Arizona county I map out of, Maricopa County[5], the 
> Arizona county just north of me, Yavapai County [6], and Switzerland[7] 
> to see the basic flaws in this research.  5/8th of Switzerland fits in 
> my county alone.  Adding Yavapai County's size to Maricopa County's size 
> we now have all of Switzerland covered and the combined population of 
> Maricopa County and Yavapai County adds only a 228,168 increase to 
> Maricopa County's population.  The study says that both Maricopa and 
> Yavapai county should perform the same.  Following this I have always 
> heard from European's that the American's should perform the same just 
> like how Europe mapped.  The size of two counties that are part of 
> Arizona swallows up the size of Switzerland begins to show why the US 
> has a lower mapper density than Europe does.
> 
> Let's compare Germany[8], the state of Montana[9] and the United 
> States[10].  We see that the size of Montana matches the size of 
> Germany.  Yet, we see the population density is roughly 82 million 
> people in Germany to 1 million people in Montana.z  You see there is 
> nothing special to the vaunted Germany Pub Meetup as a way to map.  You 
> have the natural density to make it happen. Moreover, now you feel the 
> German experience should be the same for the rest of the world and that 
> Montana can have the same mapping success as Germany.  In Germany 
> mappers are a dime a dozen.   Oh but wait!  Let's take Germany's 
> population density and see what the US population would have to be to 
> have the same mapping success.
> US Square Milles 3,796,742 / Germany Square Milles 137,903 = It takes 
> 27.53197537399476 Germany's to fit into the US.
> This means that to match the German population the US would need
> 27.5319753739947 * 82,800,000 = 62,279,647,560.966766 people where the 
> current population is 325,719,178.
> 
> The value of travel and education is that a person's understanding of 
> world is expanded.  That person's view is expanded to understand other 
> human beings live and work in diverse places. The failure here is that 
> instead of understanding that the world is different; instead of 
> understanding that not every one has high speed internet; instead of 
> understanding that not every one has the same leisure time available to 
> map; the same tired rhetoric is repeated over and over again that 
> everyone should be able to craft map their local space has overshadowed 
> the obvious need to change our outreach to draw more people into 
> mapping.  The rhetoric also fails to address how does OSM keep mappers 
> once an area is imported or craft mapped.  That is the real problem not 
> imports.
> 
> Finally, I provide two more items to think about. Ben Discoe[11] keeps 
> an interesting metric.  Thinking about Ben's data, if the US were to try 
> and survey every node without an import, then it would take 31.7 years 
> to generate the same number of nodes created by the TIGER import. 31.7 
> years is not a very useful map.  In addition, even though I am out 
> Mapillary[12] surveying most days,  I have not covered the entire state 
> of Arizona.  I haven't even covered every major road. That would still 
> not be a very useful map.  However, I can eat my own tasty dog food and 
> use maps.me <http://maps.me> for all my map needs.  It is not perfect.  
> The map does not have to be in order to be useful.
> 
> Another approach is needed to generate more interest in OpenStreetMap.  
> It is not the imports dude.
> 
> Regards,
> Greg
> 
> 
> [1] 
> https://lists.openstreetmap.org/pipermail/talk/2017-October/079116.html 
> <https://lists.openstreetmap.org/pipermail/talk/2017-October/079116.html>
> 
> [2] 
> https://lists.openstreetmap.org/pipermail/talk-us/2017-October/018002.html 
> <https://lists.openstreetmap.org/pipermail/talk-us/2017-October/018002.html>
> 
> [3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modifiable_areal_unit_problem 
> <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modifiable_areal_unit_problem>
> 
> [4] https://www.census.gov/geo/reference/gtc/gtc_bg.html 
> <https://www.census.gov/geo/reference/gtc/gtc_bg.html>
> 
> [5] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maricopa_County,_Arizona 
> <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maricopa_County,_Arizona>
> 9,224 square miles
> 4,307,033 population
> 
> [6] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yavapai_County,_Arizona 
> <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yavapai_County,_Arizona>
> 8,128 square miles
> 228,168 population
> 
> [7] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Switzerland 
> <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Switzerland>
> 15,940 square miles
> 8,401,120 population
> 
> [8] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Germany 
> <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Germany>
> 137,903 square miles
> 82,800,000 population
> 
> [9] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Montana 
> <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Montana>
> 147,040 square miles
> 1,050,493 population
> 
> [10] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States 
> <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States>
> 3,796,742 square miles
> 325,719,178 population
> 
> [11] _https://www.openstreetmap.org/user/bdiscoe/diary/44192 
> <https://www.openstreetmap.org/user/bdiscoe/diary/44192>_
> _https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1HiC1-ixx30tbwgI27RJt1SvvK80BBRkLOg98Qcb0SD0/edit#gid=1034182050 
> <https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1HiC1-ixx30tbwgI27RJt1SvvK80BBRkLOg98Qcb0SD0/edit#gid=1034182050>
> _
> _
> _
> What's remarkable to me, as you can see from the trendlines, is how 
> steady the rates are. At this rate, all of TIGER won't be cleaned up (or 
> at least touched) for another 31.7 years (for nodes) or 9.9 years (for 
> ways).
> 
> [12] 
> https://www.mapillary.com/app/?lat=33.63299223685526&lng=-110.89833796896335&z=6.748498419952923 
> <https://www.mapillary.com/app/?lat=33.63299223685526&lng=-110.89833796896335&z=6.748498419952923>
> 
> 
> 
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